TOP Oss vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOP Oss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
VOL
3 - 2
FCO
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
FCO
2 - 1
HEL
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
VVV
2 - 1
FCO
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
FCO
5 - 1
FCD
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
TEL
1 - 0
FCO
36%
27%
38%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1998 |
EXC
3 - 1
FCE
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1998 |
HER
1 - 2
EXC
58%
22%
21%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
FCD
3 - 1
EXC
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
EXC
1 - 2
TEL
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
EXC
2 - 0
EIN
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +2 |