Nürnberg vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
STU
3 - 1
FCN
77%
14%
9%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1986 |
FCN
0 - 1
BYM
23%
24%
53%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1986 |
MON
3 - 0
FCN
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1986 |
FCN
2 - 2
BRE
26%
24%
51%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1986 |
LEV
0 - 0
FCN
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
S04
3 - 0
KOL
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1986 |
S04
2 - 0
KFC
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1986 |
S04
1 - 2
STU
49%
23%
29%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1986 |
BYM
3 - 2
S04
77%
14%
9%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
STU
6 - 2
S04
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |