Muotathal vs Toss Winterthur analysis


9	ELO	20
0.7%	Tilt	0%
34946º	General ELO ranking	34949º
338º	Country ELO ranking	341º
ELO win probability

21.4%

Muotathal

22.7%

Draw

55.9%

Toss Winterthur

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

21.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%

22.7%

Draw

0-0

5.6%

1-1

10.7%

2-2

5.2%

3-3

1.1%

4-4

0.1%

5-5

<0%

0

22.7%

55.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%