Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 3-1
FC Municipal Bacău vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Municipal Bacău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1969 |
KIL
1 - 1
FCM
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
FCM
3 - 1
RAP
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
STB
8 - 0
FCM
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
FCM
1 - 1
JIU
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1969 |
FCM
2 - 1
UCL
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1970 |
AYR
3 - 2
KIL
22%
26%
52%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1970 |
KIL
1 - 1
STM
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1969 |
CEL
3 - 1
KIL
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1969 |
KIL
1 - 1
FCM
73%
16%
11%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1969 |
KIL
2 - 2
MHE
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |