Métropole Troyenne vs Troyes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
47%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
13º
14º
14º
47
2º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Métropole Troyenne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
MET
2 - 0
STR
26%
22%
52%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
MET
2 - 1
THA
17%
19%
63%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MEZ
2 - 1
MET
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
GOL
3 - 2
MET
59%
20%
22%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SAR
6 - 0
MET
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TRO
4 - 1
THL
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 0
OBE
63%
18%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 0
TRO
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
TRO
2 - 2
MET
45%
23%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
TRO
2 - 1
REI
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |