Krasnodar III vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
69%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Krasnodar III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ETK
1 - 3
KRA
36%
22%
42%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 1
KRA
75%
15%
9%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
SKA
2 - 0
KRA
77%
16%
8%
|
30 | 62 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
KRA
1 - 5
FKK
12%
19%
69%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
LEG
2 - 0
KRA
76%
17%
7%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 0
SKA
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
FCN
2 - 4
CHE
32%
22%
46%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
CHE
4 - 3
VOL
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
YEN
1 - 2
CHE
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
DMA
0 - 3
CHE
18%
22%
61%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |