Kobenhavn vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
5º
1º
51
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 14 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 14 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kobenhavn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
AAB
0 - 1
FCK
19%
22%
59%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
BIF
1 - 3
FCK
24%
24%
51%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
FCN
3 - 2
FCK
29%
25%
46%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
FCK
5 - 3
FCN
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 1
BIF
64%
22%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
AGF
1 - 1
FCN
29%
26%
44%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AGF
3 - 0
VFF
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FCN
0 - 1
AGF
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
AGF
0 - 0
FCK
18%
23%
59%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BIF
1 - 0
AGF
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |