FC Kapaz vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
58.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
8º
10º
10º
24
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
24 | 72 |
1º
|
71% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 60 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 57 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 55 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 50 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 49 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 45 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 43 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 41 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
3 | 24 |
10º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 71% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 18% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
16% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
84% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Kapaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
FCK
4 - 3
FKN
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ZIR
3 - 0
FCK
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 2
SHA
27%
26%
48%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 0
FCK
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 3
SFK
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SUM
0 - 1
QAR
36%
26%
39%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
QAR
1 - 2
MFF
33%
23%
45%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
QAR
3 - 2
SFK
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
TOT
3 - 0
QAR
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 94 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
QAR
4 - 0
FKN
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |