Golden State Force vs Ventura County Fusion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golden State Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
SCS
2 - 3
GSF
39%
25%
37%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
SDZ
1 - 2
GSF
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
GSF
5 - 0
SEA
91%
7%
3%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
GSF
2 - 5
ORA
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
GSF
2 - 0
OUT
84%
10%
6%
|
46 | 6 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Ventura County Fusion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 2
VEN
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
FRE
4 - 2
VEN
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SCS
3 - 0
VEN
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
VEN
2 - 0
SEA
83%
13%
5%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
VEN
1 - 2
MVF
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 10 | 32 | 0 |