Viareggio vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
43.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
COM
1 - 2
FCV
62%
23%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FCV
1 - 3
PAV
46%
26%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ASS
0 - 3
FCV
64%
22%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
FCV
0 - 2
USF
23%
26%
52%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
FCV
0 - 0
TAR
17%
30%
53%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ACL
1 - 2
PAV
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 0
ACL
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ACL
3 - 0
FOL
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ACL
0 - 0
SPA
49%
26%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
PIA
1 - 1
ACL
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |