Erzgebirge Aue vs VfL Osnabrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
F95
3 - 0
ERZ
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ERZ
3 - 8
PAD
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
KSC
0 - 0
ERZ
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
EBT
0 - 2
ERZ
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
ERZ
0 - 1
FCN
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
OSN
3 - 2
HSV
15%
21%
64%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
WUR
1 - 3
OSN
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
OSN
1 - 3
HOL
17%
22%
62%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 2
OSN
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
OSN
0 - 3
F95
15%
20%
65%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |