3. Liga round 11

Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus analysis

Erzgebirge Aue Energie Cottbus
69 ELO 69
2% Tilt 10.3%
1490º General ELO ranking 2044º
51º Country ELO ranking 62º
ELO win probability
46.1%
Erzgebirge Aue
25%
Draw
28.9%
Energie Cottbus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
Erzgebirge Aue
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.9%
Win probability
Energie Cottbus
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Erzgebirge Aue
-5%
+37%
Energie Cottbus

Points and table prediction

Erzgebirge Aue
Their league position
Energie Cottbus
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
12º
37
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dynamo Dresden
38
73
55.5%
1. FC Saarbrücken
32
67
23%
Energie Cottbus
37
66
23.5%
Arminia Bielefeld
31
63
18.5%
Ingolstadt 04
30
59
13.5%
Viktoria Köln
29
57
14.5%
Wehen Wiesbaden
28
57
8.5%
Sandhausen
10º
27
55
11%
Erzgebirge Aue
29
55
13.5%
B. Dortmund II
11º
26
54
10º
9%
Verl
12º
26
54
11º
11.5%
Hansa Rostock
28
51
12º
8.5%
1860 München
14º
24
50
13º
12%
Waldhof Mannheim
15º
21
46
14º
8%
Alemannia Aachen
13º
25
42
15º
14%
Hannover 96 II
17º
18
40
16º
15%
Rot-Weiss Essen
18º
17
40
17º
13%
VfL Osnabrück
19º
15
38
18º
16%
Stuttgart II
16º
20
37
19º
17%
Unterhaching
20º
14
34
20º
41%
Expected probabilities
Erzgebirge Aue
Energie Cottbus
Promotion
4.5% 33.5%
Promotion play-offs
2.5% 23.5%
Mid-table
91.5% 43%
Relegation
1.5% 0%

ELO progression

Erzgebirge Aue
Energie Cottbus
VfL Osnabrück
Arminia Bielefeld
Hannover 96 II
Dynamo Dresden
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Erzgebirge Aue
Erzgebirge Aue
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Oct. 2024
WAL
Waldhof Mannheim
3 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
37%
26%
37%
71 67 4 0
05 Oct. 2024
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 2
Hansa Rostock
ROS
52%
25%
24%
71 67 4 0
28 Sep. 2024
VIK
Viktoria Köln
2 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
41%
25%
34%
72 70 2 -1
24 Sep. 2024
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
2 - 1
Wehen Wiesbaden
WEH
38%
26%
36%
71 73 2 +1
20 Sep. 2024
UNT
Unterhaching
2 - 2
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
39%
26%
35%
71 68 3 0

Matches

Energie Cottbus
Energie Cottbus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2024
COT
Energie Cottbus
1 - 1
Sandhausen
SVS
36%
25%
38%
67 73 6 0
10 Oct. 2024
MAG
Magdeburg
4 - 1
Energie Cottbus
COT
60%
21%
18%
67 79 12 0
06 Oct. 2024
HAN
Hannover 96 II
0 - 0
Energie Cottbus
COT
38%
24%
38%
67 63 4 0
28 Sep. 2024
COT
Energie Cottbus
4 - 1
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
20%
23%
57%
66 80 14 +1
24 Sep. 2024
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
2 - 5
Energie Cottbus
COT
52%
24%
24%
64 69 5 +2