FC Erlensee vs KSV Baunatal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
45.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
17º
17º
67
1º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Erlensee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HUN
4 - 2
FCE
39%
24%
38%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
GIE
1 - 1
FCE
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCE
0 - 2
MAR
66%
17%
17%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
EDD
1 - 0
FCE
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCE
2 - 1
FER
43%
22%
35%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
KSV Baunatal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BAU
6 - 0
HSC
65%
18%
17%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
SVA
0 - 2
BAU
21%
20%
59%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 4
BAU
30%
22%
48%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAU
5 - 2
RWW
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BAY
3 - 0
BAU
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |