1. FC Düren II vs SW Nierfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
69.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SW Nierfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
SVS
1 - 1
NIE
25%
20%
55%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
NIE
1 - 0
GKS
89%
8%
4%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
NIE
3 - 2
ALE
94%
5%
2%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
EIL
3 - 3
NIE
63%
19%
19%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
GER
1 - 1
NIE
42%
21%
37%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |