MLS round 5

FC Dallas vs Chicago Fire analysis

FC Dallas Chicago Fire
76 ELO 78
1.5% Tilt 0.8%
212º General ELO ranking 447º
13º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
48.9%
FC Dallas
24.9%
Draw
26.2%
Chicago Fire

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
FC Dallas
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.2%
Win probability
Chicago Fire
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Dallas
-8%
-17%
Chicago Fire

ELO progression

FC Dallas
Chicago Fire
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Dallas
FC Dallas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jul. 1999
CFS
Chicago Fire
1 - 1
FC Dallas
DAL
55%
24%
21%
76 78 2 0
26 Jun. 1999
DAL
FC Dallas
2 - 0
New England Revolution
NER
55%
23%
22%
75 71 4 +1
19 Jun. 1999
COR
Colorado Rapids
2 - 1
FC Dallas
DAL
55%
22%
23%
76 76 0 -1
16 Jun. 1999
DAL
FC Dallas
3 - 0
DC United
DCU
29%
24%
47%
75 83 8 +1
12 Jun. 1999
KCW
Sporting Kansas City
1 - 0
FC Dallas
DAL
41%
26%
33%
75 69 6 0

Matches

Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jul. 1999
CFS
Chicago Fire
1 - 1
FC Dallas
DAL
55%
24%
21%
78 76 2 0
26 Jun. 1999
COR
Colorado Rapids
2 - 0
Chicago Fire
CFS
53%
23%
24%
79 76 3 -1
19 Jun. 1999
CFS
Chicago Fire
2 - 0
San Jose Earthquakes
SJE
62%
20%
18%
78 70 8 +1
12 Jun. 1999
GAL
LA Galaxy
2 - 1
Chicago Fire
CFS
58%
21%
21%
78 80 2 0
05 Jun. 1999
NER
New England Revolution
2 - 0
Chicago Fire
CFS
31%
26%
44%
79 69 10 -1