Catanzaro vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
22.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
FCC
1 - 1
UDI
48%
29%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
JUV
3 - 1
FCC
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
FCC
0 - 0
ROM
26%
29%
45%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
PIS
0 - 0
FCC
47%
28%
25%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
CAG
1 - 0
FCC
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
AVE
1 - 1
ROM
28%
29%
43%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
PIS
2 - 0
AVE
47%
29%
25%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
AVE
1 - 2
INT
28%
28%
45%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
SAM
0 - 0
AVE
46%
29%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
GEN
1 - 1
AVE
49%
28%
24%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |