Catanzaro vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
31.2%
Draw
0-0
15.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.2%
23.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
BOL
2 - 0
FCC
53%
28%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
FCC
2 - 1
CAT
51%
29%
20%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
GEN
2 - 0
FCC
59%
25%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
FCC
0 - 2
USC
48%
30%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
BRE
0 - 1
FCC
56%
27%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
EMP
1 - 0
PES
52%
29%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
ARZ
0 - 2
EMP
44%
32%
24%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
ASS
0 - 1
EMP
42%
33%
25%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
EMP
0 - 0
CAM
53%
29%
18%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1986 |
ACM
1 - 1
EMP
82%
12%
6%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |