Catanzaro vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
24.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
FCC
0 - 2
FIO
41%
30%
29%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
BOL
0 - 0
FCC
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
FCC
0 - 0
INT
29%
30%
41%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
NAP
1 - 1
FCC
62%
24%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
FCC
3 - 1
CES
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
ASC
0 - 0
NAP
47%
30%
23%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
FIO
0 - 0
ASC
58%
25%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
ASC
3 - 0
UDI
58%
26%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
INT
0 - 0
ASC
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
NAP
2 - 0
ASC
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |