Catanzaro vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
FCC
2 - 1
ASS
58%
25%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
BAR
4 - 2
FCC
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
FCC
2 - 2
MOD
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
FCC
1 - 1
LAZ
37%
26%
36%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
GEN
1 - 1
FCC
63%
21%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
REG
1 - 2
GEN
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
ASS
1 - 0
REG
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
REG
1 - 1
USA
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
BAR
3 - 1
REG
47%
24%
28%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
REG
2 - 1
NOV
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |