Catanzaro vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1981 |
NAP
1 - 2
FCC
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
TOR
1 - 2
FCC
63%
24%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
FCC
1 - 1
ROM
28%
29%
43%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
UDI
2 - 1
FCC
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
FCC
0 - 0
AVE
54%
28%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
CES
1 - 1
ASC
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
CAG
1 - 1
CES
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
AVE
2 - 0
CES
62%
24%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
CES
0 - 0
TOR
32%
32%
37%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
CES
2 - 1
FIO
33%
31%
36%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |