Castiglione vs MapelloBonate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CIS
0 - 0
FCC
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 0
PER
45%
26%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
FCC
42%
25%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 0
OLG
31%
27%
42%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PSM
0 - 5
FCC
53%
22%
24%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
MapelloBonate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MAP
0 - 3
SER
37%
24%
39%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
PON
2 - 1
MAP
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MAP
1 - 1
AUR
58%
22%
21%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
ACC
0 - 2
MAP
45%
25%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MAP
3 - 2
VIR
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |