Carlos Stein vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
42.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlos Stein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
UTC
4 - 0
FCS
51%
25%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 1
HUA
29%
28%
43%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 2
MEL
16%
27%
57%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SPC
3 - 2
FCS
81%
14%
6%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
ALI
2 - 1
FCS
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 0
CAN
68%
21%
12%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 2
UNI
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
UTC
1 - 1
ALI
27%
28%
45%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 0
HUA
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SPC
0 - 0
ALI
63%
22%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |