DDR Oberliga round 3

FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis

FC Carl Zeiss Jena Rot-Weiss Erfurt
86 ELO 78
-12.6% Tilt -4.1%
2033º General ELO ranking 2675º
71º Country ELO ranking 95º
ELO win probability
67.1%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
19.7%
Draw
13.2%
Rot-Weiss Erfurt

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.2%
Win probability
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
+2%
+28%
Rot-Weiss Erfurt

ELO progression

FC Carl Zeiss Jena
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Carl Zeiss Jena
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 1968
BSG
BSG Stahl Riesa
1 - 2
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
CZJ
21%
21%
57%
86 69 17 0
17 Aug. 1968
CZJ
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
0 - 1
Zwickau
ZWI
67%
20%
13%
86 81 5 0
01 Jun. 1968
LAS
Lok Stendal
1 - 4
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
CZJ
35%
27%
38%
86 78 8 0
25 May. 1968
CZJ
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
2 - 0
Chemnitzer
CHE
68%
20%
12%
86 80 6 0
18 May. 1968
LOK
Lokomotive Leipzig
0 - 0
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
CZJ
45%
26%
30%
86 82 4 0

Matches

Rot-Weiss Erfurt
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 1968
ERF
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
5 - 2
Hallescher FC
HAL
47%
25%
28%
77 78 1 0
17 Aug. 1968
BWA
BSG Wismut Aue
1 - 0
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
ERF
48%
26%
26%
77 80 3 0
01 Jun. 1968
ERF
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1 - 1
Hallescher FC
HAL
49%
25%
27%
77 78 1 0
25 May. 1968
MAG
Magdeburg
3 - 3
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
ERF
59%
22%
20%
77 81 4 0
18 May. 1968
ERF
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1 - 1
Chemie Leipzig
CHL
42%
26%
32%
77 82 5 0