Boston Bolts vs Portland Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
54.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boston Bolts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
POR
4 - 3
BOS
70%
16%
14%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
BOS
4 - 0
CAC
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
CAC
7 - 1
BOS
19%
20%
61%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
SEA
1 - 0
BOS
34%
22%
43%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
WES
2 - 1
BOS
61%
19%
19%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Portland Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
REA
1 - 1
POR
78%
14%
7%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
POR
4 - 3
BOS
70%
16%
14%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
WES
4 - 5
POR
22%
21%
57%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
MSC
2 - 1
POR
59%
19%
22%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
POR
3 - 1
CAC
82%
11%
6%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |