Tercera RFEF XV - Navarra round 1

FC Bidezarra vs Cirbonero analysis

FC Bidezarra Cirbonero
28 ELO 25
-19.1% Tilt -15.9%
10359º General ELO ranking 9993º
430º Country ELO ranking 404º
ELO win probability
44.1%
FC Bidezarra
24.7%
Draw
31.2%
Cirbonero

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
FC Bidezarra
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.2%
Win probability
Cirbonero
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Bidezarra
+57%
-20%
Cirbonero

Points and table prediction

FC Bidezarra
Their league position
Cirbonero
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
19
17º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Mutilvera
38
75
50%
CD Valle de Egüés
39
73
34.5%
AD San Juan
29
66
25%
Peña Sport
28
62
25.5%
CD Huarte
31
62
21%
CF Ardoi
27
55
25%
FC Bidezarra
25
53
18.5%
Txantrea
25
53
17.5%
CD Cortes
24
46
15.5%
Cirbonero
11º
19
45
10º
16%
Artajonés
13º
18
40
11º
13%
CD Pamplona
10º
20
39
12º
16.5%
Beti Kozkor
12º
19
35
13º
14.5%
Gares
14º
12
33
14º
15.5%
Rotxapea CD
15º
12
31
15º
13.5%
Cantolagua
18º
7
26
16º
20.5%
Beti Onak
16º
9
25
17º
20.5%
Burladés
17º
9
24
18º
33.5%
Expected probabilities
FC Bidezarra
Cirbonero
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
11% 3.5%
Mid-table
89% 95.5%
Relegation
0% 1%

ELO progression

FC Bidezarra
Cirbonero
CD Cortes
AD San Juan
Burladés
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Bidezarra
FC Bidezarra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2024
BID
FC Bidezarra
1 - 0
CD Valle de Egüés
VAL
33%
25%
41%
27 28 1 0
11 May. 2024
BID
FC Bidezarra
2 - 0
Subiza
SUB
17%
22%
62%
23 37 14 +4
05 May. 2024
OBE
Oberena
0 - 0
FC Bidezarra
BID
42%
25%
33%
24 22 2 -1
01 May. 2024
BID
FC Bidezarra
0 - 0
CD Pamplona
PAM
45%
25%
30%
24 24 0 0
27 Apr. 2024
BUR
Burladés
1 - 2
FC Bidezarra
BID
36%
25%
40%
23 20 3 +1

Matches

Cirbonero
Cirbonero
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2024
ATL
Cirbonero
1 - 1
Peña Sport
PEÑ
25%
24%
52%
26 32 6 0
11 May. 2024
ATL
Cirbonero
0 - 1
Burladés
BUR
70%
19%
11%
26 19 7 0
05 May. 2024
CDB
Beti Onak
3 - 2
Cirbonero
ATL
43%
24%
34%
27 25 2 -1
01 May. 2024
ATL
Cirbonero
4 - 1
CD Alesves
CDA
72%
18%
10%
27 17 10 0
27 Apr. 2024
AVA
Avance Ezcabarte
2 - 1
Cirbonero
ATL
43%
23%
33%
29 25 4 -2