Bazenheid vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
60.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
BEL
2 - 1
KRI
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
CON
4 - 2
BEL
38%
25%
37%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
BEL
3 - 1
FCG
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
WIN
2 - 2
BEL
45%
25%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
BEL
2 - 0
YVE
57%
23%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |