Regionalliga Bayern round 23

Bayern München II vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis

Bayern München II Bayreuth SpVgg
49 ELO 41
-9.7% Tilt 3.6%
2468º General ELO ranking 3548º
71º Country ELO ranking 103º
ELO win probability
58.2%
Bayern München II
22.3%
Draw
19.6%
Bayreuth SpVgg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
Bayern München II
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.6%
Win probability
Bayreuth SpVgg
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayern München II
+18%
+23%
Bayreuth SpVgg

ELO progression

Bayern München II
Bayreuth SpVgg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayern München II
Bayern München II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2017
BAY
Bayern München II
0 - 1
Ingolstadt 04 II
ING
64%
21%
15%
50 39 11 0
24 Feb. 2017
BAY
Bayern München II
2 - 0
Schwaz
SCH
66%
21%
14%
50 37 13 0
31 Jan. 2017
HEI
Heimstetten
1 - 6
Bayern München II
BAY
14%
21%
65%
50 27 23 0
22 Jan. 2017
BAY
Bayern München II
2 - 0
Ulm
ULM
52%
25%
24%
50 46 4 0
27 Nov. 2016
UNT
Unterhaching
2 - 1
Bayern München II
BAY
68%
19%
13%
50 59 9 0

Matches

Bayreuth SpVgg
Bayreuth SpVgg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Mar. 2017
GRE
Greuther Fürth II
1 - 1
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
34%
24%
42%
41 37 4 0
25 Nov. 2016
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
0 - 2
Memmingen
MEM
37%
25%
38%
42 45 3 -1
19 Nov. 2016
VRG
VfR Garching
1 - 2
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
47%
23%
30%
42 42 0 0
12 Nov. 2016
186
1860 München II
1 - 1
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
51%
24%
25%
42 47 5 0
05 Nov. 2016
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
2 - 0
Bayern Hof
BAY
71%
18%
12%
41 30 11 +1