National round 5

Bastia-Borgo vs Concarneau analysis

Bastia-Borgo Concarneau
50 ELO 61
14.6% Tilt -7.4%
5251º General ELO ranking 1745º
107º Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
27%
Bastia-Borgo
27%
Draw
46%
Concarneau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
Bastia-Borgo
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
46%
Win probability
Concarneau
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bastia-Borgo
+1%
-8%
Concarneau

Points and table prediction

Bastia-Borgo
Their league position
Concarneau
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
18º
18º
62
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Concarneau
62
63
100%
Dunkerque
62
62
100%
Red Star
60
60
100%
FC Martigues
60
60
100%
Versailles
51
51
100%
Villefranche
46
46
0%
Avranches
45
46
0%
CS Sedan
46
46
0%
Cholet
45
45
100%
Orléans
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Chateauroux
11º
44
44
11º
100%
Le Mans
12º
43
43
12º
100%
Nancy
13º
41
42
13º
100%
Bourg-Péronnas
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Stade Briochin
15º
38
38
15º
100%
Le Puy
16º
35
35
16º
100%
Paris 13 Atletico
17º
31
31
17º
100%
Bastia-Borgo
18º
26
26
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bastia-Borgo
Concarneau
Promotion
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Bastia-Borgo
Concarneau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bastia-Borgo
Bastia-Borgo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2022
DUN
Dunkerque
2 - 0
Bastia-Borgo
FBB
51%
26%
23%
51 56 5 0
26 Aug. 2022
FBB
Bastia-Borgo
0 - 2
Orléans
ORL
32%
27%
41%
52 60 8 -1
19 Aug. 2022
BOU
Bourg-Péronnas
1 - 1
Bastia-Borgo
FBB
64%
22%
14%
52 61 9 0
12 Aug. 2022
FBB
Bastia-Borgo
1 - 0
Le Puy
LPV
53%
25%
22%
51 52 1 +1
13 May. 2022
FBB
Bastia-Borgo
1 - 2
Sète
SÈT
46%
25%
29%
51 54 3 0

Matches

Concarneau
Concarneau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2022
CON
Concarneau
1 - 2
Nancy
ASN
49%
27%
24%
61 54 7 0
26 Aug. 2022
CON
Concarneau
1 - 0
Le Mans
LMU
43%
28%
29%
61 58 3 0
19 Aug. 2022
DUN
Dunkerque
0 - 1
Concarneau
CON
33%
28%
39%
60 56 4 +1
12 Aug. 2022
CON
Concarneau
0 - 3
Orléans
ORL
43%
29%
28%
61 59 2 -1
29 Jul. 2022
AVR
Avranches
1 - 2
Concarneau
CON
32%
24%
43%
61 53 8 0