Barcelona U19 vs Zaragoza U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
5º
1º
30
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
41 | 73 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 72 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 62 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 58 |
4º
|
45% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 54 |
5º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 46 |
6º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 45 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 37 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 36 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 34 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 31 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 28 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
14º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 24 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 15 |
16º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
57% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
42.5% | 35% |
|
Possible next round
|
0.5% | 42% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 23% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
FCB
4 - 2
YOB
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
GIR
1 - 2
FCB
15%
18%
67%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FCB
3 - 2
CFD
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
MON
4 - 3
FCB
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CFS
0 - 2
FCB
11%
16%
73%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Zaragoza U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ZAR
2 - 0
MLL
31%
25%
44%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GIM
1 - 0
ZAR
34%
25%
42%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ZAR
4 - 0
UDC
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 3
ZAR
32%
25%
43%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ZAR
3 - 0
CEM
66%
18%
15%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |