Czech First Division Temporada Regular round 17

Baník Ostrava vs Karviná analysis

Baník Ostrava Karviná
83 ELO 73
7.1% Tilt 4.2%
242º General ELO ranking 923º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
65.3%
Baník Ostrava
19.9%
Draw
14.8%
Karviná

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
Baník Ostrava
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.8%
Win probability
Karviná
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Baník Ostrava
+10%
+3%
Karviná

Points and table prediction

Baník Ostrava
Their league position
Karviná
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
10º
24
10º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Slavia Praha
53
70
90.5%
Viktoria Plzeň
43
60
45.5%
Sparta Praha
40
57
36%
Baník Ostrava
39
56
38.5%
Jablonec
30
45
29.5%
Mladá Boleslav
28
45
24%
Sigma Olomouc
29
44
21.5%
Hradec Králové
28
42
19%
Bohemians 1905
25
39
16.5%
Slovácko
10º
25
39
10º
16%
Slovan Liberec
11º
24
38
11º
17%
Teplice
13º
22
34
12º
26.5%
Karviná
12º
24
33
13º
32%
Pardubice
14º
15
24
14º
49.5%
FK Dukla Praha
15º
13
24
15º
55.5%
České Budějovice
16º
4
12
16º
98.5%
Expected probabilities
Baník Ostrava
Karviná
Play-offs for the title
99.5% 1%
Next round
0.5% 19%
Relegation play-offs
0% 80%

ELO progression

Baník Ostrava
Karviná
FK Dukla Praha
Sigma Olomouc
Sparta Praha
Slavia Praha
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Baník Ostrava
Baník Ostrava
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Nov. 2024
JAB
Jablonec
3 - 1
Baník Ostrava
BAN
38%
25%
37%
83 79 4 0
09 Nov. 2024
BAN
Baník Ostrava
6 - 0
FK Dukla Praha
DUK
63%
22%
16%
82 73 9 +1
02 Nov. 2024
SPA
Sparta Praha
1 - 3
Baník Ostrava
BAN
54%
22%
24%
82 83 1 0
30 Oct. 2024
SLO
Varnsdorf
1 - 3
Baník Ostrava
BAN
24%
22%
54%
81 61 20 +1
26 Oct. 2024
PAR
Pardubice
2 - 3
Baník Ostrava
BAN
25%
27%
49%
81 73 8 0

Matches

Karviná
Karviná
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Nov. 2024
KAR
Karviná
1 - 0
Pardubice
PAR
41%
27%
32%
73 74 1 0
10 Nov. 2024
SLP
Slavia Praha
5 - 1
Karviná
KAR
71%
18%
12%
73 83 10 0
02 Nov. 2024
KAR
Karviná
2 - 1
Sigma Olomouc
SIG
30%
27%
44%
73 79 6 0
27 Oct. 2024
MBO
Mladá Boleslav
1 - 1
Karviná
KAR
60%
22%
18%
72 79 7 +1
20 Oct. 2024
KAR
Karviná
4 - 1
České Budějovice
ESK
47%
25%
28%
71 67 4 +1