Baník Ostrava vs Karviná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
10º
4º
23
10º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 68 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 61 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 57 |
3º
|
39% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 54 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 46 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 43 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 40 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 40 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 39 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 36 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 35 |
13º
|
26.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 26 |
14º
|
50.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 24 |
15º
|
62.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 11 |
16º
|
98% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
99% | 1% |
|
Next round
|
1% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 69.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baník Ostrava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
JAB
3 - 1
BAN
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BAN
6 - 0
DUK
63%
22%
16%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 3
BAN
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 3
BAN
24%
22%
54%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 3
BAN
25%
27%
49%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Karviná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 0
PAR
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SLP
5 - 1
KAR
71%
18%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 1
SIG
30%
27%
44%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MBO
1 - 1
KAR
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
KAR
4 - 1
ESK
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |