Baník Ostrava vs Bohemians 1905 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
13º
4º
35
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baník Ostrava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MBO
1 - 3
BAN
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 1
VKP
26%
24%
50%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ESK
3 - 0
BAN
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
DEC
1 - 1
BAN
29%
24%
47%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 3
BAN
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bohemians 1905
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BOH
0 - 2
VKP
19%
24%
58%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
HRA
2 - 2
BOH
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 1
BOH
47%
25%
29%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
DTB
0 - 3
BOH
59%
20%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
TSG
3 - 4
BOH
40%
24%
36%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |