Bagnols-Pont vs Rodez II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
29.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
14º
14º
29
8º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
100% | 82% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 18% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bagnols-Pont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCA
4 - 1
FBP
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
FBP
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FBP
2 - 1
TOU
24%
21%
55%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FBP
1 - 3
USJ
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FBP
1 - 1
COL
30%
24%
47%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Rodez II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ROD
2 - 4
BEA
35%
22%
43%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ONE
2 - 1
ROD
47%
22%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BEZ
3 - 0
ROD
85%
11%
4%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ROD
1 - 0
MON
26%
21%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SAM
4 - 0
ROD
62%
19%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |