FC Azzurri 90 vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.7%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
86.4%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
13.9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.5%
0-4
10.1%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
13.3%
0-5
5.9%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
7.5%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.5%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Azzurri 90
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FCA
2 - 2
ECH
16%
19%
65%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
FCA
0 - 2
MEY
13%
17%
71%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
FRI
0 - 1
FCA
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
FCA
1 - 3
MAR
24%
20%
56%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
FCE
1 - 5
FCA
6%
12%
82%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 0
ZUR
29%
25%
46%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
THU
1 - 1
LUG
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
DIE
0 - 4
LUG
5%
11%
85%
|
71 | 27 | 44 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 2
GCZ
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
FCL
4 - 2
LUG
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -2 |