FC An der Fahner Höhe vs Bischofswerdaer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
61.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
10º
17º
14º
59
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC An der Fahner Höhe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BUD
3 - 0
FCA
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCA
0 - 5
PLA
23%
22%
55%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
AUE
1 - 1
FCA
62%
19%
18%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCA
3 - 0
UNI
37%
25%
38%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SVB
1 - 6
FCA
73%
16%
12%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bischofswerdaer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BIS
4 - 0
OBE
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
EWD
0 - 6
BIS
35%
22%
43%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BIS
2 - 3
EIN
65%
19%
15%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
WAC
3 - 0
BIS
21%
21%
57%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BIS
1 - 0
VFL
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |