Aegeri vs Eschenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
36.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 3
FCB
50%
22%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 1
FCA
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 1
VED
74%
15%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
IBA
0 - 1
FCA
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 2
BUO
21%
20%
58%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Eschenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
SAR
4 - 0
ESC
64%
18%
17%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
ESC
0 - 4
RUS
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
ZUG
2 - 3
ESC
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
ESC
1 - 3
GOL
39%
23%
38%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
FCS
1 - 2
ESC
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |