Super League Playoffs Promotion round 6

Aarau vs FC Wil analysis

Aarau FC Wil
69 ELO 70
2.1% Tilt 7.2%
1557º General ELO ranking 1914º
17º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
46.1%
Aarau
24.7%
Draw
29.3%
FC Wil

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
Aarau
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.3%
Win probability
FC Wil
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarau
+11%
+1%
FC Wil

ELO progression

Aarau
FC Wil
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 2001
WIN
Winterthur
1 - 2
Aarau
FCA
58%
22%
20%
68 71 3 0
18 Mar. 2001
FCL
Luzern
3 - 0
Aarau
FCA
45%
25%
30%
69 66 3 -1
10 Mar. 2001
FCA
Aarau
0 - 0
Yverdon
YVE
54%
23%
23%
69 67 2 0
07 Mar. 2001
YOB
Young Boys
1 - 0
Aarau
FCA
57%
22%
21%
69 71 2 0
24 Feb. 2001
FCA
Aarau
0 - 2
AC Bellinzona
BEL
50%
24%
26%
70 71 1 -1

Matches

FC Wil
FC Wil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2001
WIL
FC Wil
2 - 4
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
56%
22%
22%
72 69 3 0
25 Mar. 2001
BEL
AC Bellinzona
0 - 0
FC Wil
WIL
51%
24%
26%
72 72 0 0
18 Mar. 2001
YVE
Yverdon
2 - 2
FC Wil
WIL
40%
25%
34%
72 67 5 0
11 Mar. 2001
WIL
FC Wil
0 - 0
Luzern
FCL
60%
21%
19%
72 67 5 0
24 Feb. 2001
WIL
FC Wil
0 - 0
Young Boys
YOB
54%
23%
23%
72 71 1 0