Aarau vs Tromsø IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1995 |
BAS
0 - 1
FCA
55%
24%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1995 |
FCA
4 - 1
LAU
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1995 |
LUG
0 - 0
FCA
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1995 |
FCA
3 - 0
FCL
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1995 |
FCA
2 - 2
GCZ
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1995 |
TRO
1 - 0
VKG
29%
27%
43%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1995 |
LSK
5 - 4
TRO
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
BBS
4 - 2
TRO
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1995 |
TRO
1 - 2
RBK
16%
22%
62%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
KON
1 - 1
TRO
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |