Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
FCA
1 - 0
GCZ
29%
26%
44%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCA
71%
19%
10%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
FCA
0 - 3
GCZ
29%
26%
44%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
YOB
4 - 0
FCA
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
FCA
0 - 0
NEX
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
FCL
1 - 3
ZUR
23%
24%
53%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
FCL
1 - 2
BAS
22%
23%
54%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
GCZ
1 - 0
FCL
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCL
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
FCL
2 - 3
YOB
21%
24%
55%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |