Perú - Final Stages Semi-finals
Global 4-0
FBC Melgar vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 1
ALI
64%
22%
15%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
AGP
2 - 1
MEL
30%
27%
44%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 0
SBO
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
MEL
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 0
AYA
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SPC
4 - 0
MAN
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 2
SPC
19%
23%
58%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 2
AGP
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SBO
3 - 5
SPC
16%
23%
62%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SPC
0 - 0
UNI
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |