FBC Melgar vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
ALI
1 - 0
MEL
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
MEL
1 - 1
UNI
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2005 |
AGU
0 - 3
MEL
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
MEL
1 - 0
SBO
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
SPO
2 - 2
MEL
49%
25%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
SPC
2 - 0
UNI
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
CIE
3 - 0
SPC
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
SPC
5 - 1
ALI
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
SPC
2 - 1
UNI
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
SPC
2 - 0
AGU
60%
21%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |