FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
LLA
0 - 6
MEL
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
MEL
4 - 0
HUA
37%
27%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
MEL
0 - 2
VAL
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
MAN
0 - 0
MEL
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
MEL
4 - 1
SBO
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
MUN
2 - 5
LLA
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
VAL
0 - 1
MUN
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MUN
1 - 1
AYA
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
MUN
1 - 1
GAR
32%
27%
40%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
SBO
1 - 0
MUN
46%
26%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |