1. Lig round 16

Fatih Karagümrük vs Boluspor analysis

Fatih Karagümrük Boluspor
86 ELO 75
16.9% Tilt 0.8%
223º General ELO ranking 1098º
Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
74.7%
Fatih Karagümrük
16.3%
Draw
9%
Boluspor

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
Fatih Karagümrük
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9%
Win probability
Boluspor
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fatih Karagümrük
-3%
+1%
Boluspor

Points and table prediction

Fatih Karagümrük
Their league position
Boluspor
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
18º
22
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Fatih Karagümrük
31
74
64%
Bandirmaspor
33
68
30.5%
Kocaelispor
35
67
22%
Ankaragücü
24
63
20.5%
Corum FK
25
57
5%
Erzurumspor
29
56
11%
Gençlerbirliği SK
12º
23
56
9.5%
Pendikspor
11º
23
55
11%
Umraniyespor
14º
22
55
7%
Istanbulspor AS
24
54
10º
7.5%
Erokspor
13º
22
54
11º
8%
76 Iğdır
25
54
12º
8%
Keciorengucu
27
53
13º
8%
Manisa FK
10º
23
52
14º
9%
Boluspor
15º
22
51
15º
8%
Sakaryaspor
18º
21
50
16º
6.5%
Amedspor
16º
22
48
17º
10.5%
Sanliurfaspor
17º
21
47
18º
25.5%
Adanaspor
19º
11
28
19º
97.5%
Yeni Malatyaspor
20º
0
7
20º
99.5%
Expected probabilities
Fatih Karagümrük
Boluspor
Promotion
80.5% 0.5%
Promotion play-offs
18.5% 14%
Mid-table
1% 69.5%
Relegation
0% 16%

ELO progression

Fatih Karagümrük
Boluspor
76 Iğdır
Adanaspor
Pendikspor
Yeni Malatyaspor
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fatih Karagümrük
Fatih Karagümrük
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2024
GEN
Gençlerbirliği SK
1 - 0
Fatih Karagümrük
FAT
25%
25%
51%
86 74 12 0
04 Dec. 2024
FAT
Fatih Karagümrük
3 - 0
Sariyer
SAR
87%
9%
4%
86 63 23 0
01 Dec. 2024
FAT
Fatih Karagümrük
1 - 0
Erokspor
ERO
72%
17%
12%
86 73 13 0
24 Nov. 2024
ERZ
Erzurumspor
1 - 3
Fatih Karagümrük
FAT
25%
25%
51%
85 74 11 +1
09 Nov. 2024
FAT
Fatih Karagümrük
6 - 1
Yeni Malatyaspor
YEN
92%
7%
1%
85 41 44 0

Matches

Boluspor
Boluspor
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2024
BOL
Boluspor
2 - 3
Ankaragücü
ANK
26%
27%
48%
75 84 9 0
02 Dec. 2024
SAK
Sakaryaspor
2 - 1
Boluspor
BOL
51%
26%
23%
75 76 1 0
23 Nov. 2024
BOL
Boluspor
1 - 0
Sanliurfaspor
SAN
49%
26%
25%
74 72 2 +1
10 Nov. 2024
BAN
Bandirmaspor
2 - 0
Boluspor
BOL
56%
24%
20%
75 78 3 -1
01 Nov. 2024
BOL
Boluspor
3 - 0
Umraniyespor
UMR
38%
27%
35%
74 75 1 +1