Farnborough vs Scarborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
40.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2003 |
FAR
1 - 0
WOK
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
FAR
1 - 1
MAR
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
HER
2 - 0
FAR
69%
20%
12%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
HAL
2 - 0
FAR
60%
23%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
FAR
2 - 0
NOR
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Scarborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
POR
0 - 1
SCA
65%
20%
16%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
EBB
1 - 1
SCA
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2003 |
SCA
2 - 2
BAR
42%
26%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
DAG
1 - 0
SCA
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
SCA
1 - 0
ALD
46%
25%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |