National League South round 29

Farnborough vs Dover Athletic analysis

Farnborough Dover Athletic
45 ELO 51
5.3% Tilt 15.5%
4437º General ELO ranking 7453º
150º Country ELO ranking 331º
ELO win probability
37.8%
Farnborough
25.5%
Draw
36.7%
Dover Athletic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
Farnborough
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.7%
Win probability
Dover Athletic
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Farnborough
-21%
+97%
Dover Athletic

ELO progression

Farnborough
Dover Athletic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Farnborough
Farnborough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2012
FAR
Farnborough
0 - 1
Weston-super-Mare
WES
64%
20%
16%
47 38 9 0
10 Mar. 2012
DAR
Dartford
3 - 0
Farnborough
FAR
59%
21%
20%
48 53 5 -1
06 Mar. 2012
FAR
Farnborough
1 - 0
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
68%
18%
14%
47 36 11 +1
03 Mar. 2012
EAS
Eastleigh
0 - 1
Farnborough
FAR
47%
23%
30%
47 47 0 0
25 Feb. 2012
FAR
Farnborough
3 - 2
Tonbridge Angels
TON
54%
23%
24%
46 44 2 +1

Matches

Dover Athletic
Dover Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2012
EAS
Eastleigh
2 - 3
Dover Athletic
DOV
41%
24%
35%
50 46 4 0
13 Mar. 2012
HAM
Hampton & Richmond
2 - 2
Dover Athletic
DOV
31%
25%
44%
50 42 8 0
10 Mar. 2012
BAS
Basingstoke Town
1 - 1
Dover Athletic
DOV
32%
25%
43%
50 44 6 0
06 Mar. 2012
DOV
Dover Athletic
2 - 1
Chelmsford City
CHM
37%
27%
36%
49 52 3 +1
03 Mar. 2012
SAL
Salisbury City
0 - 1
Dover Athletic
DOV
44%
24%
32%
48 47 1 +1