Farense vs Sporting Braga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
FAR
0 - 2
MAR
22%
23%
55%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FAR
2 - 2
LUS
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FAR
1 - 1
ACV
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 1
FAR
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
FAR
39%
29%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 3
BEN
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
BRA
4 - 3
OLI
43%
29%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FEI
1 - 0
BRA
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 2
CHA
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SPC
2 - 0
BRA
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |