Fano vs Mestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
44.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
FCS
2 - 0
FAN
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
FAN
0 - 1
ASG
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
FAN
2 - 0
ABN
33%
28%
39%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
FAN
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
FAN
0 - 0
REG
27%
29%
44%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
REG
0 - 4
MES
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MES
0 - 0
VIC
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
REN
1 - 1
MES
35%
29%
37%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MES
0 - 0
PAD
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
BV5
0 - 2
MES
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |