Fano vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
58.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
PRG
2 - 2
FAN
81%
15%
5%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
FAN
2 - 1
ASC
9%
18%
73%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2020 |
RAV
0 - 1
FAN
48%
27%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
FAN
2 - 0
RAV
29%
28%
43%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FAN
2 - 0
IMO
22%
27%
51%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +4 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
FRO
1 - 3
PAD
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
PAD
0 - 1
IMO
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
PAD
2 - 0
USB
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
PAD
2 - 1
REG
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
LAZ
1 - 0
PAD
86%
11%
3%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |