Fano vs FC Fossombrone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
18º
16º
41
1º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
26 | 26 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 2
FAN
22%
28%
50%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
RMS
2 - 2
FAN
35%
28%
37%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
FAN
3 - 1
AVE
44%
27%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FAN
0 - 0
SOR
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
RCF
2 - 0
FAN
42%
27%
31%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
FC Fossombrone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
BFM
0 - 0
AVE
35%
26%
39%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
BFM
1 - 3
SSD
52%
22%
27%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SOR
0 - 0
BFM
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BFM
0 - 0
RCF
33%
25%
42%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ASD
0 - 0
BFM
24%
21%
55%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |