Campeonato de Portugal Norte round 20

Famalicão vs Lousada analysis

Famalicão Lousada
59 ELO 37
-8% Tilt -1.5%
519º General ELO ranking 22952º
10º Country ELO ranking 372º
ELO win probability
75%
Famalicão
17%
Draw
8%
Lousada

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
Famalicão
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8%
Win probability
Lousada
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Famalicão
Lousada
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Famalicão
Famalicão
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2012
CAM
Camacha
2 - 2
Famalicão
FAM
23%
25%
52%
60 42 18 0
05 Feb. 2012
FAM
Famalicão
1 - 0
Os Limianos
OSL
71%
19%
10%
59 44 15 +1
29 Jan. 2012
CHA
Chaves
1 - 0
Famalicão
FAM
30%
30%
40%
60 55 5 -1
22 Jan. 2012
FAM
Famalicão
0 - 1
Mirandela
MIR
70%
19%
11%
61 46 15 -1
15 Jan. 2012
MAC
Macedo Cavaleiros
1 - 0
Famalicão
FAM
22%
25%
54%
61 41 20 0

Matches

Lousada
Lousada
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2012
LOU
Lousada
1 - 2
Macedo Cavaleiros
MAC
38%
25%
37%
36 42 6 0
05 Feb. 2012
VIZ
Vizela
0 - 0
Lousada
LOU
72%
19%
10%
36 56 20 0
29 Jan. 2012
LOU
Lousada
1 - 1
Tirsense
TIR
18%
24%
58%
35 62 27 +1
22 Jan. 2012
ADO
Oliveirense
0 - 0
Lousada
LOU
37%
24%
39%
35 30 5 0
15 Jan. 2012
FAF
Fafe
1 - 0
Lousada
LOU
71%
18%
11%
36 51 15 -1