Scottish Premiership round 8

Falkirk vs St. Mirren analysis

Falkirk St. Mirren
66 ELO 70
-10.5% Tilt -0.2%
472º General ELO ranking 602º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
40.9%
Falkirk
28.8%
Draw
30.4%
St. Mirren

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
Falkirk
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
30.3%
Win probability
St. Mirren
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Falkirk
-1%
-7%
St. Mirren

ELO progression

Falkirk
St. Mirren
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 2009
MHE
Motherwell
1 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
59%
23%
19%
67 72 5 0
26 Sep. 2009
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
41%
28%
31%
67 69 2 0
23 Sep. 2009
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 4
Celtic
CEL
23%
25%
52%
68 82 14 -1
19 Sep. 2009
HAM
Hamilton Academical
0 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
36%
29%
35%
68 65 3 0
14 Sep. 2009
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
35%
28%
37%
68 75 7 0

Matches

St. Mirren
St. Mirren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 2009
STM
St. Mirren
2 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
28%
30%
42%
69 79 10 0
26 Sep. 2009
STM
St. Mirren
0 - 2
Celtic
CEL
19%
25%
56%
69 82 13 0
22 Sep. 2009
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 2
St. Mirren
STM
54%
24%
22%
68 70 2 +1
19 Sep. 2009
ABE
Aberdeen
1 - 0
St. Mirren
STM
55%
26%
19%
69 75 6 -1
12 Sep. 2009
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 1
St. Johnstone
STJ
33%
28%
39%
69 71 2 0